The Estimation Game
Fermi’s estimates can be very imprecise (we’re not trying to say they’re not), but if we have minimal information and our uncertainty is large, it’s better than nothing. Even a quick, simple and rough estimate that can hit at least an order of magnitude can help reduce uncertainty and ignorance and can be worked with in decision-making.
Quantified Intuitions organizes a fun quiz competition between EA groups globally by answering Fermi estimation questions on your phones. Test your skills on a range of questions and track your progress on a real-time global leaderboard. Form your team and let’s see who comes out on top!
What Lukáš Hána writes about Fermi estimates and why they are important: https://1url.cz/eKAoM
Link to facebook event: https://fb.me/e/5wrj7NdhV